Financial Independence · Retire Early

Find your number.

$0

The portfolio that funds your life, forever.

find your number. plan your escape.

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01 — Income & Spending

What does your financial life look like?

Two numbers do most of the work in early retirement: what you earn and what you keep. Drag the sliders to match your year. We'll do the math the moment you let go.

$320K
$50K$2.0M
$110K
$20K$500K
Savings rate
0.0%
Exceptional
Annual savings
$0
into your future
SPEND · $110KSAVE · $210K

Most of every dollar you earn is buying you time. This is the FIRE engine running well.

Patience compounds
The market rewards the long view — and almost nothing else.
Photo: Aedrian Salazar / Unsplash

02 — Your Portfolio

How much have you already built?

The number that matters isn't a round target — it's yours. We multiply your spending by the inverse of your safe withdrawal rate, then watch your portfolio race toward it.

$280K
$0$5.0M
7.0%
2.0%10.0%
4.00%
2.5%5.5%
38 yrs
22 yrs64 yrs
Your FIRE number
$0
$110K ÷ 4.00% · the portfolio that funds your life, forever
Progress to goal10.2%
Years to FIRE
0.0
Retirement age
0
Coast FIRE
Not yet.
$443K today would coast on its own to your FIRE number by 65.
Building
Year-end balance
Compounding vs contributions
ReturnsContributions

03 — Projections

Three futures. One choice.

Markets aren't promises. Below: your base case, what an extra two points of return looks like, what 2.5 less feels like, and the version where inflation quietly rents out a room in your portfolio.

Base case
Optimistic
Conservative
Inflation-adjusted
Base case
9.0 yrs
7.0% real return
Optimistic
8.0 yrs
9.0% real return
Conservative
10.0 yrs
4.5% real return

04 — Your FIRE Style

What kind of freedom are you building?

Pick the version of retired life you actually want. Some are about leaving early at any cost; some are about leaving comfortably. We'll resize your number around the choice.

Adjusted FIRE number — FIRE
$0
vs your current path
+0.0 yrs
matches your base plan
Plan the dollars before they arrive
Where your money lives changes how much of it stays yours.
Photo: Natalia Blauth / Unsplash

05 — Tax Strategy

Not all savings are created equal.

The order you fill accounts matters as much as how much you save. HSA first — it's the only account that's tax-free coming and going. Then 401k to the match. Then Roth IRA. Taxable brokerage is the bridge to 59½ when you need money before traditional retirement.

Current balances
$18K
$0$100K
$165K
$0$2.0M
$52K
$0$500K
$45K
$0$2.0M
Annual contributions
$24K
$0$70K
$7K
$0$14K
$4K
$0$8K
Priority stack

Fill from the top. The bar shows how close you are to maxing each bucket.

1
HSA
Triple tax-advantaged. Max it first.
$4K
of $8K max
2
401k / 403b
Max the employer match first, then fill to the $23,500 limit. Pre-tax contributions reduce your taxable income now.
$24K
of $24K max
3
Roth IRA (Backdoor)Backdoor required
Tax-free growth forever. At your income level, use the Backdoor Roth method — contribute to Traditional IRA then immediately convert. Keep Traditional IRA at $0.
$7K
of $14K max
4
Taxable brokerage
The bridge to 59½.
$16K
no cap
Net worth by account type
HSA401kRoth IRATaxable
Effective tax rate — working vs retirement
Working years
17.3%
on $320K income
Retirement years
8.3%
on $110K draw

06 — Roth Ladder

Bridge the gap to 59½.

Before 59½ you can't touch your 401k / 403b without a 10% penalty. The Roth conversion ladder solves this — convert pre-tax 401k / 403b money to Roth each year, wait 5 years, then withdraw the converted principal penalty-free. Start the ladder the day you retire so the first dollars unlock when you actually need them.

$900K
$0$3.0M

Projected from your current 401k balance of $165K growing at 7% for 9 years with $24K/yr contributions. This is your pre-tax 401k / 403b — separate from any Traditional IRA, which should be $0 if you are doing Backdoor Roth conversions.

$60K
$0$150K
Conversion ladder · 10-year view

How it works: Each year in retirement you convert a chunk of your pre-tax 401k / 403b to Roth, paying income tax at your (now lower) bracket. That converted money must season for 5 years before you can withdraw it penalty-free. The grey bars are locked; the green bars are available to spend.

2035 · Age 47
Convert $60K · $13K tax · locked 5 more yrs
2036 · Age 48
Convert $60K · $13K tax · locked 4 more yrs
2037 · Age 49
Convert $60K · $13K tax · locked 3 more yrs
2038 · Age 50
Convert $60K · $13K tax · locked 2 more yrs
2039 · Age 51
Convert $60K · $13K tax · locked 1 more yr
2040 · Age 52
Unlocked · $60K available
2041 · Age 53
Unlocked · $120K available
2042 · Age 54
Unlocked · $180K available
2043 · Age 55
Unlocked · $240K available
2044 · Age 56
Unlocked · $300K available
Year-by-year ladder
YearAgeConvertTax OwedRoth BalanceAvailable
203547$60K$13K$60K
203648$60K$13K$124K
203749$60K$13K$193K
203850$60K$13K$266K
203951$60K$13K$345K
204052$60K$13K$429K$60K
204153$60K$13K$519K$120K
204254$60K$13K$616K$180K
204355$60K$13K$719K$240K
204456$60K$13K$829K$300K
Bridge gap — first 5 years
You need to fund 5 years between retirement and your first Roth withdrawal.
At $110K/yr, that's $550K of fully accessible savings. Your taxable brokerage is the natural source — no early withdrawal penalty, just capital gains tax on growth.
Taxable brokerage
$45K
Gap to close
$505K

07 — Retirement Risk

The order of returns matters more than the average.

Two retirees with identical average returns can land in radically different places depending on when the bad years hit. A crash in year one is devastating because every withdrawal locks in losses. The same crash in year fifteen is survivable. This is sequence of returns risk — the most underappreciated threat to early retirement.

Portfolio depletion · three scenarios
Base caseEarly crash (yr 1–3)Late crash (yr 13–15)
Monte Carlo · 500 simulations
10–90th percentile25–75th percentileMedian
Survival probability
90.0%
of 500 simulated 40-year retirements ended with money still in the portfolio
Median portfolio at year 30
$8.0M
the 50th percentile outcome 30 years into retirement (age 77)
Mitigation strategies
  • 1

    Cash buffer

    Keep 1–2 years expenses in cash or short-term bonds so you never sell stocks at a loss.

  • 2

    Flexible spending

    Reduce withdrawals 10% in down years. The portfolio recovers faster than you think.

  • 3

    Part-time income

    Even $20K/yr bridges major market drops without touching the portfolio.

  • 4

    Bucket strategy

    Separate short-, medium-, and long-term money so a downturn hits only the long bucket.

Decades, not quarters
The order of your returns matters more than the average.
Photo: Devin Avery / Unsplash

08 — Social Security

When should you claim?

SS is the one guaranteed income stream that increases every year with inflation. For high earners the question isn't whether to claim — it's when. Delaying from 62 to 70 increases your benefit by 77%. For a couple, the math gets even more compelling.

Include Social Security in your plan
Affects FIRE number, all charts, and retirement income.
$3,200 /mo
$0/mo$5000/mo
$1,600 /mo
$0/mo$4000/mo
Age 67
Claim at 62
$3,360 /mo
Annual
$40K
Break-even
Lifetime to 85
$927K
Claim at 65
$4,162 /mo
Annual
$50K
Break-even
age 77.6
Lifetime to 85
$999K
Claim at 67
$4,800 /mo
Annual
$58K
Break-even
age 78.7
Lifetime to 85
$1.0M
Claim at 70
$5,952 /mo
Annual
$71K
Break-even
age 80.4
Lifetime to 85
$1.1M
Cumulative lifetime SS income
Claim 62Claim 65Claim 67Claim 70
Lifetime total to age 85
FIRE number impact
Your SS income reduces your required portfolio by $1.4M.
That's the portfolio equivalent of $58K/yr at your 4.00% safe withdrawal rate, based on claiming at 67.
Adjusted FIRE number
$1.3M
$2.8M$1.4M

09 — Income in Retirement

Where will your money come from?

In retirement you don't have one income stream — you have several buckets that deplete at different rates and get taxed differently. The order you draw from them determines how long your money lasts and how much you keep.

Annual income by source · 40 years
Social SecurityRoth IRA401k / 403bBrokerageSpending target
First 10 retirement years
YearAgeSocial SecurityRoth IRA401k / 403bBrokerageTotalvs Target
147$110K$110K+$0
248$113K$113K+$0
349$117K$117K+$0
450$120K$120K+$0
551$124K$124K+$0
652$128K$128K+$0
753$131K$131K+$0
854$2K$134K$135K+$0
955$137K$2K$139K+$0
1056$144K$144K+$0
Coverage
Shortfall begins at age 59.
Total income falls below your inflation-adjusted spending target by $49K/yr in year 13. Build more taxable or extend the Roth ladder to close the gap.
Gap detected

You have a number. Now you have a plan.

Here is everything we know about your path to financial independence.

FIRE Number (SS-adjusted)
$1.3M
$2.8M − $1.4M SS offset
Retirement Age
47
9 years from today
Savings Rate
65.6%
$210K/yr saved
Years to FIRE
9.0
7.0% real return
Projected Net Worth at FIRE
$3.0M
at age 47
Monthly Retirement Income
$9K
4.00% safe withdrawal
Your action checklist
  • 1

    Max your HSA

    Contributing $4K of $8K — add $4K to fully optimize the only triple tax-advantaged account.

  • 2

    Max your 401k

    Done

    Hitting the $24K employee limit.

  • 3

    Fund Backdoor Roth

    At your income level, direct Roth IRA contributions are not allowed. Use the Backdoor Roth: contribute $7,000 to a Traditional IRA then immediately convert to Roth. Important: keep your Traditional IRA balance at $0 — any pre-tax IRA balance triggers the IRS pro-rata rule, making part of your conversion taxable. Your 401k balance does not affect this. Current: $7K of $14,000/yr max (2 people).

  • 4

    Build your Roth ladder bridge

    $45K of $550K needed to bridge 5 years until Roth conversions season — $505K gap.

  • 5

    Optimize SS timing

    Currently claiming at 67. Waiting until 70 adds $14K/yr for life.

Progress saved